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Basel III-aligned regulations strengthen Vietnam’s banking system and support its sovereign credit rating case

Over the past 12 months, the State Bank of Vietnam has introduced several regulatory updates that point in the same direction: a more resilient banking system, stronger prudential standards, and closer alignment with international frameworks.

The first key milestone is Circular 14/2025, which sets a formal roadmap toward Basel III capital adequacy management. Effective from September 2025, *the circular introduces a phased strengthening of capital adequacy requirements,* including capital buffers, stricter dividend distribution conditions, and the option to adopt the Internal Ratings-Based (IRB) approach for CAR calculation.

The next area of focus is liquidity and balance sheet discipline. Under the draft amendment to Circular 22/2019, the SBV proposes to replace LDR with CDR, while introducing LCR, NSFR, and leverage ratio requirements:

  • The proposed CDR framework would tighten how credit expansion is measured against banks’ funding base. It broadens credit exposure by including selected off-balance-sheet commitments, while excluding interbank funding from eligible funding. In practice, this should make headline credit growth more sensitive to banks’ underlying funding capacity.
  • The introduction of LCR and NSFR would be a more structural step toward Basel III-aligned liquidity management. LCR focuses on banks’ short-term liquidity resilience under stress, while NSFR addresses longer-term funding stability by encouraging banks to fund long-term assets with more stable funding sources.

This should also create clearer differentiation across the sector. Banks with stronger risk management frameworks, diversified funding profiles, and more advanced asset-liability management capabilities are likely to adapt more smoothly to the new requirements. For smaller banks, or those with faster balance sheet expansion and higher reliance on short-term funding, the transition may require more active capital planning, funding diversification, and liquidity management.

From our discussions with several banks, there is broad agreement on the need to upgrade regulatory standards and strengthen system resilience. The key focus is on calibration and transition timing, so the final framework can better reflect the current structure of Vietnam’s banking system and support a smooth transition. Implementation is likely to be gradual, but the direction is clear: Vietnam is moving closer to international banking standards.

Overall, for the banking sector, stronger regulatory alignment should improve confidence in balance sheet quality and supervisory standards. It could also support longer-term debt mobilization and equity capital raising, especially for banks seeking strategic investment from international investors.

From a sovereign rating perspective, banking sector stability remains an important component of macro-financial risk assessment. As Vietnam is currently rated one notch below investment grade, stronger capital buffers, more disciplined liquidity management, and closer alignment with international standards would incrementally support the country’s case for a sovereign rating upgrade.

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